我们通过提供无风险的套利机会,迅速积累到了450颗星。

1作者: SamTinnerholm3 个月前原帖
我维护着 pmxt.dev,这是一个开源的统一预测市场 API(如 Polymarket、Kalshi 等)。我们基本上构建了“预测市场的 ccxt”。 我们目前获得了大约 450 个星标和 3 万次下载。我们在这个领域已经成为标准。Limitless.Exchange 对我们表示支持,ccxt 的创始人甚至给我们的仓库点了星。 我们的成功之处在于:我们没有采用传统的营销方式,而是专注于“实用营销”。我们发现了市场之间的无风险套利机会,编写了脚本来利用 pmxt 捕捉这些机会,并将开源代码发布在 r/algotrading 上。基本上就是“这是免费的 alpha -> 你需要这个库来运行它 -> 下载 pmxt。” 这个策略为我们带来了第一波零售算法交易者,但我们似乎已经达到了瓶颈。我们似乎已经耗尽了“零售算法”人群。我们希望进入下一个层次:成为更大玩家的关键基础设施或扩大市场份额。 我想问 HN 的问题是:对于那些将小众开源开发工具扩展到“初始吸引力”阶段以上的人: 1. 我们是否继续吸引零售人群?(例如,提供更复杂的策略,更多“赚钱”脚本?) 2. 还是我们应该转向“企业”功能?(例如,专注于延迟、可靠性和机构文档?) 3. 这只是市场规模的问题吗?预测市场现在是否太小,无法支持一个 1000+ 星标的库,我们是否应该等待行业的发展? 感谢您的见解。 https://github.com/pmxt-dev/pmxt
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I maintain pmxt.dev, an open-source unified API for prediction markets (Polymarket, Kalshi, etc.). We essentially built &quot;ccxt for prediction markets.&quot;<p>We’ve hit ~450 stars and 30k downloads. We are currently the standard in the space. Limitless.Exchange endorsed us, and the founder of ccxt has even starred the repo.<p>What worked: Instead of traditional marketing, we focused on &quot;Utility Marketing.&quot; We found risk-free arbitrage opportunities between markets, wrote scripts to capture them using pmxt, and posted the open-source code on r&#x2F;algotrading. Basically, &quot;Here is free alpha -&gt; You need this library to run it -&gt; Download pmxt.&quot;<p>That strategy got us the initial wave of retail algotraders, but we&#x27;ve plateaued. We seem to have exhausted the &quot;retail algo&quot; crowd. We want to break into the next tier: becoming critical infrastructure for larger players or expanding the pie.<p>My Question to HN: For those who have scaled niche OSS dev tools past the &quot;initial traction&quot; phase: 1. Do we keep feeding the retail crowd? (e.g., more complex strategies, more &quot;make money&quot; scripts?) 2. Or do we pivot to &quot;Enterprise&quot; features? (e.g., focus purely on latency, reliability, and institutional docs?) 3. Is this just a market cap issue? Are prediction markets just too small right now to support a 1k+ star library, and we should just wait for the industry to catch up?<p>Thanks for the insight.<p>https:&#x2F;&#x2F;github.com&#x2F;pmxt-dev&#x2F;pmxt